Year of Publication | 2015 | Division | Convergence Meteorological Research Department |
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Title | Monthly Changes in Temperature Extremes over South Korea Based on Observations and RCP8.5 Scenario | ||
Author | Kim Jin Uk | ||
Coauthor | 권원태,변영화 | ||
ISBN(ISSN) | 2093-5919 | Name of Journal | 한국기후변화학회 |
Category (International/Domestic) | 국내 | Vol. No. | 6(2) |
Research Project Title | 기후변화 예측기술 지원 및 활용연구 (2015년) | Publication Date | 2015-06-22 |
Keywords | Climate Change, Extreme Index, ETCCDI, RCP8.5 Scenario, Heat Wave |
In this study, we have investigated monthly changes in temperature extremes in South Korea for the past (1921∼2010) and the future (2011∼2100). We used seven stations’ (Gangneung, Seoul, Incheon, Daegu, Jeonju, Busan, Mokpo) data from KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration) for the past. For the future we used the closest grid point values to observations from the RCP8.5 scenario of 1 km resolution. The Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI)’s climate extreme indices were employed to quantify the characteristics of temperature extremes change. Temperature extreme indices in summer have increased while those in winter have decreased in the past. The extreme indices are expected to change more rapidly in the future than in the past. The number of frost days (FD) is projected to decrease in the future, and the occurrence period will be shortened by two months at the end of the 21st century (2071∼2100) compared to the present (1981∼2010). The number of hot days (HD) is projected to increase in the future, and the occurrence period is projected to lengthen by two months at the end of the 21st century compared to the present. The annual highest temperature and its fluctuation is expected to increase. Accordingly, the heat damage is also expected to increase. The result of this study can be used as an information on damage prevention measures due to temperature extreme events.