Skip navigation
Skip to contents Skip to top menu Skip to left menu
Korean

Font size

Journal Paper

Journal Paper

Journal Paper

Journal Paper
Year of Publication 2016 Division Applied Meteorology Research Division
Title Variability of Wind Energy in Korea Using Regional Climate Model Ensemble Projection
Author 김유미
Coauthor 김연희, 김나윤, 임윤진, 김백조
ISBN(ISSN) 1598-3560 Name of Journal 대기지
Category (International/Domestic) 국내 Vol. No. 26(3)
Research Project Title 응용기상기술개발연구 (2016년) Publication Date 2016-09-01
Keywords Wind energy density, variability, ensemble projection, regional climate model

Abstract

The future variability of Wind Energy Density (WED) over the Korean Peninsula under RCP climate change scenario is projected using ensemble analysis. As for the projection of the future WED, changes between the historical period (1981~2005) and the future projection (2021~2050) are examined by analyzing annual and seasonal mean, and Coefficient of Variation (CV) of WED. The annual mean of WED in the future is expected to decrease compared to the past ones in RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 respectively. However, the CV is expected to increase in RCP 8.5. WEDs in spring and summer are expected to increase in both scenarios RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. In particular, it is predicted that the variation of CV for WED in winter is larger than other seasons. The time series of WED for three major wind farms in Korea exhibit a decrease trend over the future period (2021~2050) in Gochang for autumn, in Daegwanryeong for spring, and in Jeju for autumn. Through analyses of the relationship between changes in wind energy and pressure gradients, the fact that changes in pressure gradients would affect changes in WED is identified. Our results can be used as a background data for devising a plan to develop and operate wind farm over the Korean Peninsula.

Related Data and Websites

/AE/CA/OP/TH/main.jsp